WHEAT · Milling Grade 3 · CIF AlexandriaCORN · Feed Grade · FOB NovorossiyskSUNFLOWER SEEDS · GOST R 22391 · CIF IstanbulSUNFLOWER OIL · Crude / Refined · CIF JeddahWHEAT · DNS 13%+ · FOB KavkazCORN · GMO-free · CIF BarcelonaSUNFLOWER SEEDS · Oil content 45%+ · FOB KavkazWHEAT · Grade 4 · CFR MersinWHEAT · Milling Grade 3 · CIF AlexandriaCORN · Feed Grade · FOB NovorossiyskSUNFLOWER SEEDS · GOST R 22391 · CIF IstanbulSUNFLOWER OIL · Crude / Refined · CIF JeddahWHEAT · DNS 13%+ · FOB KavkazCORN · GMO-free · CIF BarcelonaSUNFLOWER SEEDS · Oil content 45%+ · FOB KavkazWHEAT · Grade 4 · CFR Mersin

Market Intelligence

Black Sea Grain Analytics

Commodity price intelligence for grain traders · Data delayed 30 days · Updated daily

0 Export Origins0 ProductsDaily Updates
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Live data · No credit card

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Price analytics · Public

FOB Price History

Black Sea FOB export prices in $/MT — compare origins side by side

Data delayed 30 days. Register free → for live access.

Free accountLive prices · 2-week delay · Russia + Ukraine + Romania
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Price analytics · Public

Where Is Grain Cheapest Right Now?

Current FOB export price by origin country — Wheat $/MT · Click a country to filter the chart above

Data delayed 30 days. Register free → for live access.

Free accountLive data · See all 13 origins
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Price analytics · Public

Seasonal Price Index

Average FOB price by month — reveals harvest cycle patterns and seasonal trading windows

Coming soon — in development

Free accountLive data · Full seasonal history
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Price analytics · Pro

Calendar Heatmap

Daily price changes across a full year — instantly see seasonality and volatility clusters

Pro feature

Calendar heatmap — daily price change

See every trading day colored by price change intensity. Reveals harvest pressure months and seasonal volatility clusters.

Price analytics · Pro flagship

Correlation Matrix

Cross-origin and cross-product price correlation — available on Bloomberg Terminal for $2,000/month

Price analytics · Pro flagship

60-Day Price Forecast

Prophet model with confidence bands — updated daily with accuracy tracking

Pro · flagship

Prophet forecast + σ confidence band

Machine learning price forecast with 1σ and 2σ confidence intervals. Accuracy badge shows historical performance at 30 and 60 day horizons.

Price analytics · Pro

Boxplot Volatility

Monthly price distribution by origin — median, quartiles and outliers reveal hidden volatility regimes

Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Pro feature

Boxplot — monthly price volatility

Price analytics · Pro

Candlestick OHLC

Weekly open / high / low / close FOB prices — the chart language of commodity traders

Russia Wheat 12.5% · Weekly OHLC
Pro subscribers see live weekly data
Pro feature

Candlestick OHLC — weekly candles

Price analytics · Pro

Trend Regression

Linear and polynomial regression on rolling windows — objectively measure whether price is trending or ranging

slope +2.4 $/wk · R² 0.87
Pro feature

Trend regression — slope & R²

Freight analytics · Public

Freight Index Trend

Capesize, Panamax and Supramax TC average rates — the pulse of global bulk shipping

Coming soon — in development

Data delayed 30 days. Register free → for live access.

Free accountLive freight index · All vessel classes
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Freight analytics · Public

Route Freight Rates

Historical sea freight rates by origin-destination pair — Novorossiysk to Egypt, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and more

Coming soon — in development

Data delayed 30 days. Register free → for live access.

Free accountLive rates · Russia and Ukraine routes
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Freight analytics · Free

CFR Cost Breakdown

FOB price + freight over time — see how each component drives your landed cost

Coming soon — in development

Freight analytics · Pro

Route Competitiveness

CFR cost comparison across all origins — who is cheapest to your destination today?

🇷🇺Russia
$231/MT
🇺🇦Ukraine
$238/MT
🇪🇺EU
$251/MT
🇦🇷Argentina
$264/MT
🇺🇸USA
$278/MT
CFR Egypt · Wheat 12.5%
Pro feature

Route competitiveness — CFR ranking

Freight analytics · Pro

Freight vs FOB-EXW Spread

Exporter margin vs freight cost — the key signal for export competitiveness

Trade flow · Public

Export Volumes

Monthly export shipments by country — track the flow of Black Sea grain to the world

Coming soon — in development

Data delayed 30 days. Register free → for live access.

Free accountLive data · Russia and Ukraine exports
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Trade flow · Public

Export Pace Year-on-Year

Cumulative exports this marketing year vs last year — are shipments running ahead or behind?

Coming soon — in development

Data delayed 30 days. Register free → for live access.

Free accountLive data · Russia and Ukraine YoY comparison
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Trade flow · Pro

Import Demand

Purchasing volumes for Egypt, Turkey, China and other major buyers

Egypt
Turkey
Algeria
Indonesia
Morocco
Pro feature

Import demand — stream by country

Trade flow · Pro

Marketing Year Balance

Cumulative exports vs USDA annual forecast — how much of the year's quota remains?

USDA Export Forecast · MY 2025/26
0%
0%
100%
🇷🇺Russia
38.2 / 40.5 MMT
⚠ Near quota
0%
0%
100%
🇺🇦Ukraine
18.1 / 23.2 MMT
→ On track
0%
0%
100%
🇪🇺EU
14.2 / 16.7 MMT
→ On track
Pro feature

Marketing year — export pace

Trade flow · Pro

Trade Flow Sankey

Origin-to-destination export flows — visualise where Russian, Ukrainian and Romanian wheat actually ships

Pro feature

Trade flow Sankey — origin to destination

Trade flow · Pro

ThemeRiver Streams

Monthly export volume by origin as stacked stream — see market-share shifts between origins at a glance

Pro feature

ThemeRiver — export streams by origin

Crops analytics · Public

Crop Condition Year-on-Year

Good + Excellent % rating by week — compare this season vs prior years for Russia, Ukraine and US

Coming soon — in development

Data delayed 30 days. Register free → for live access.

Free accountLive data · Russia + Ukraine + US current season
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Crops analytics · Public

Harvest Progress

Year-on-year harvest completion rate — are combines running ahead or behind schedule?

Coming soon — in development

Data delayed 30 days. Register free → for live access.

Free accountLive data · Russia and Ukraine progress
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Crops analytics · Pro

Yield Trend vs Price

t/ha yield over years overlaid with average EXW price — the harvest-price relationship

Pro feature

Yield trend vs EXW price

Cross analytics · Public

FOB Price vs Export Volume

When exports surge, does the price follow? The supply-demand signal Black Sea traders watch daily

Coming soon — in development

Data delayed 30 days. Register free → for live access.

Free accountLive data · Russia and Ukraine cross-view
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Cross analytics · Free

Crop Condition + FOB Price Overlay

Poor crop conditions drive FOB higher — see the lead indicator in action

Pro feature

Crop condition + FOB overlay — dual axis

Inverted crop condition scale alongside FOB price. When Good+Excellent % falls in April, watch for FOB to rally by June.

Free accountAvailable in Free cabinet · Russia and Ukraine current season
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Cross analytics · Pro flagship

Supply Shock Detector

Automatic alert when three signals align: crop condition falls + export pace slows + FOB rises 5%

Cross analytics · Pro

Price Pressure Index

Export volume anomaly combined with FOB price direction — identifies periods of unusual selling pressure

Cross analytics · Pro

Harvest vs Seasonality

Actual harvest progress overlaid on the 5-year seasonal curve — spot whether the market is running ahead or behind its own history

Pro feature

Harvest vs seasonality — scatter + seasonal band

Weekly harvest completion % plotted against the 5-year average ± 1σ band. When this season runs 2 weeks ahead, export pace typically accelerates.

Cross analytics · Pro

Import Demand + FOB Lag

Egyptian and Turkish import tender volumes mapped against FOB price 4–8 weeks later — the demand signal that precedes price moves

Pro feature

Import demand + FOB lag — dual-axis

Left axis: import tender volume in million tonnes. Right axis: FOB price shifted 6 weeks forward. Correlation coefficient badge quantifies the predictive relationship.

Cross analytics · Pro

Yield Trend vs EXW

Annual yield per hectare versus ex-works farm-gate prices — see how bumper harvests transmit into domestic price depression

Pro feature

Yield vs EXW — bar + line dual axis

Grey bars show yield t/ha per crop year. Gold line shows EXW price. Years where yield spikes ≥10% while EXW drops ≥12$ become annotated automatically.

Full Analytics Suite

Unlock Live Data + Pro Analytics

Live FOB prices, freight rates, crop conditions and trade flow data — updated daily.

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